Evidence Based Medicine on FHIR Implementation Guide
1.0.0-ballot - ballot International flag

Evidence Based Medicine on FHIR Implementation Guide, published by HL7 International / Clinical Decision Support. This guide is not an authorized publication; it is the continuous build for version 1.0.0-ballot built by the FHIR (HL7® FHIR® Standard) CI Build. This version is based on the current content of https://github.com/HL7/ebm/ and changes regularly. See the Directory of published versions

Example Evidence: 14-day mortality remdesivir vs placebo meta-analysis (ACTT-1, Wang et al, WHO SOLIDARITY)

Active as of 2021-08-23

Generated Narrative: Evidence

Resource Evidence "55" Version "25" Updated "2024-04-12 17:05:38+0000"

url: https://fevir.net/resources/Evidence/55

identifier: FEvIR Object Identifier/55, https://gps.health/coka/143

version: 1.0.0-ballot

name: Fourteen_day_mortality_remdesivir_vs_placebo_meta_analysis_ACTT_1_Wang_et_al_WHO_SOLIDARITY

title: 14-day mortality remdesivir vs placebo meta-analysis (ACTT-1, Wang et al, WHO SOLIDARITY)

citeAs: Citation/58: Alper BS, Dehnbostel J, Shahin K. 14-day mortality remdesivir vs placebo meta-analysis (ACTT-1, Wang et al, WHO SOLIDARITY). Fast Evidence Interoperability Resources (FEvIR) Platform, entry 55, version 4. Created 2020 Dec 17. Revised 2020 Dec 21. Accessed 2021 Mar 13. Computable resource at: https://fevir.net/resources/Evidence/55.

status: active

date: 2021-08-23 12:33:29+0000

approvalDate: 2020-12-17

lastReviewDate: 2020-12-21

publisher: HL7 International / Clinical Decision Support

contact: HL7 International / Clinical Decision Support: http://www.hl7.org/Special/committees/dss

author: Brian S. Alper: , Joanne Dehnbostel: , Khalid Shahin:

copyright: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/

RelatedArtifacts

-TypeDisplayCitationResource
*citationRemdesivir in adults with severe COVID-19: a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicentre trial http://computablepublishing.us/fevir/resources/Citation/4932
*citationRemdesivir for the Treatment of Covid-19 - Final Report
*citationRepurposed Antiviral Drugs for Covid-19 — Interim WHO Solidarity Trial Results
*cite-as 14-day mortality remdesivir vs placebo meta-analysis (ACTT-1, Wang et al, WHO SOLIDARITY) [Database Entry: FHIR Evidence Resource]. Contributors: Brian S. Alper, Joanne Dehnbostel, Khalid Shahin [Authors/Creators]. In: Fast Evidence Interoperability Resources (FEvIR) Platform, FOI 55. Published 2020-12-17. Revised 2021-08-23. Available at: https://fevir.net/resources/Evidence/55. Computable resource at: https://fevir.net/resources/Evidence/55.

description: COVID-19 pneumonia remdesivir vs. placebo 14-day mortality (779 events among 6,744 participants, 3 randomized trials) Risk ratio 0.85 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.96) in fixed-effect analysis Risk ratio 0.81 (95% CI 0.60 to 1.08) in random-effects analysis

assertion: Remdesivir might reduce 14-day mortality, but this finding has not been repeated in a second trial (Low certainty)

variableDefinition

VariableDefinitionVariableRoleCode: population

description: Adults with COVID-19 pneumonia admitted to hospital

note: population

variableRole: Use extension:variableRoleCode instead. (EvidenceVariableRole#population "population")

observed: Group/179799: MetaanalysisStudyGroup: Effect Estimates for Mortality at 14 days from COVID19 Remdesivir vs. Placebo RCTs (Biegel 2020 data 35/541 vs. 61/521) (Wang 2020 data 15/153 vs. 7/78) (SOLIDARITY data 219/2743 vs. 219/2708) "MetaanalysisStudyGroup_Effect_Estimates_for_Mortality_at_14_days_from_COVID19_Remdesivir_vs_Placebo_RCTs"

intended: Group/12714: COVID-19PneumoniaHospitalizedAdult "COVID_19PneumoniaHospitalizedAdult"

directnessMatch: High quality match between observed and intended variable (EvidenceDirectness[1.0.0]#high)

variableDefinition

VariableDefinitionVariableRoleCode: exposure

description: Remdesivir IV 200 mg once then 100 mg once daily for 9 days

note: exposure

variableRole: Use extension:variableRoleCode instead. (EvidenceVariableRole#exposure "exposure")

observed: Group/179783: Remdesivir IV 200 mg once then 100 mg once daily for 9 days "Remdesivir_IV_200_mg_once_then_100_mg_once_daily_for_9_days"

intended: EvidenceVariable/12717: Remdesivir "Remdesivir"

variableDefinition

VariableDefinitionVariableRoleCode: exposure

description: Placebo

note: SOLIDARITY trial did not use placebo in control group, exposure

variableRole: Use extension:variableRoleCode instead. (EvidenceVariableRole#exposure "exposure")

observed: EvidenceVariable/12718: Placebo "Placebo"

intended: EvidenceVariable/12718: Placebo "Placebo"

variableDefinition

VariableDefinitionVariableRoleCode: outcome

description: Mortality at 14 days

note: outcome

variableRole: Use extension:variableRoleCode instead. (EvidenceVariableRole#measuredVariable "measured variable")

observed: EvidenceVariable/12719: Mortality at 14 days "Mortality14Day"

intended: EvidenceVariable/12719: Mortality at 14 days "Mortality14Day"

studyDesign: randomized assignment (Scientific Evidence Code System (SEVCO) -- EXAMPLE VERSION for EBMonFHIR Implementation Guide#SEVCO:01003)

statistic

description: risk ratio 0.85 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.96) in fixed-effect meta-analysis; Test for overall effect Z = 2.52 (p = 0.01); Heterogeneity Chi-squared = 7.33, df = 2 (p 0.03), I-squared = 73%

statisticType: Relative Risk (StatisticStatisticType[0.1.0]#C93152)

quantity: 0.85

numberOfEvents: 779

numberAffected: 779

SampleSizes

-NumberOfStudiesNumberOfParticipantsKnownDataCount
*367746744

attributeEstimate

type: Confidence interval (StatisticAttribute Estimate Type#C53324)

level: 0.95

range: 0.74-0.96

attributeEstimate

type: Z-score (Scientific Evidence Code System (SEVCO) -- EXAMPLE VERSION for EBMonFHIR Implementation Guide#TBD:0000077 "P-value")

quantity: 2.52

attributeEstimate

type: P-value (StatisticAttribute Estimate Type#C44185)

quantity: 0.01

attributeEstimate

type: I-squared (StatisticAttribute Estimate Type#0000420)

quantity: 0.73

attributeEstimate

type: Cochran's Q statistic (StatisticAttribute Estimate Type#0000419)

quantity: 7.33

AttributeEstimates

-TypeQuantity
*degrees of freedom (Scientific Evidence Code System (SEVCO) -- EXAMPLE VERSION for EBMonFHIR Implementation Guide#STATO:0000069 "Degrees of Freedom")2
*P-value (StatisticAttribute Estimate Type#C44185)0.03

modelCharacteristic

StatisticModelApplied: true

code: Fixed-effects (Statistic Model Code#effectsFixed)

modelCharacteristic

StatisticModelApplied: true

code: Meta-analysis (Statistic Model Code#metaAnalysis)

statistic

description: risk ratio 0.81 (95% CI 0.60 to 1.08) in random-effects meta-analysis; Test for overall effect Z = 1.44 (p = 0.15); Heterogeneity Chi-squared = 7.33, df = 2 (p 0.03), I-squared = 73%; Tau-squared = 0.04

note: We consider the random-effects model more appropriate for interpretation as the true effect of remdesivir is likely different across the different populations represented in each trial.

statisticType: Relative Risk (StatisticStatisticType[0.1.0]#C93152)

quantity: 0.81

numberOfEvents: 779

numberAffected: 779

SampleSizes

-NumberOfStudiesNumberOfParticipantsKnownDataCount
*367746744

attributeEstimate

type: Confidence interval (StatisticAttribute Estimate Type#C53324)

level: 0.95

range: 0.6-1.08

attributeEstimate

type: Z-score ()

quantity: 1.44

attributeEstimate

type: P-value (StatisticAttribute Estimate Type#C44185)

quantity: 0.15

attributeEstimate

type: Tau squared (StatisticAttribute Estimate Type#0000421)

quantity: 0.04

attributeEstimate

type: I-squared (StatisticAttribute Estimate Type#0000420)

quantity: 0.73

attributeEstimate

type: Cochran's Q statistic (StatisticAttribute Estimate Type#0000419)

quantity: 7.33

AttributeEstimates

-TypeQuantity
*degrees of freedom ()2
*P-value (StatisticAttribute Estimate Type#C44185)0.03

modelCharacteristic

StatisticModelApplied: true

code: Random-effects (Statistic Model Code#effectsRandom)

modelCharacteristic

StatisticModelApplied: true

code: Meta-analysis (Statistic Model Code#metaAnalysis)

modelCharacteristic

StatisticModelApplied: true

code: Dersimonian-Laird method (Statistic Model Code#tauDersimonianLaird)

certainty

description: Low certainty due to inconsistency and risk of bias

type: Overall certainty (Evidence Certainty Type#Overall)

rating: Low quality (Evidence Certainty Rating#low)

subcomponent

type: Publication bias (Evidence Certainty Type#PublicationBias)

rating: no serious concern (Evidence Certainty Rating#no-concern)

subcomponent

note: There is a high degree of heterogeneity (I-squared = 73%). There is also inconsistency in findings between the fixed-effect and random-effects statistical models.

type: Inconsistency (Evidence Certainty Type#Inconsistency)

rating: serious concern (Evidence Certainty Rating#serious-concern)

subcomponent

note: Although the random-effects analysis finds an estimate without statistical significance, this imprecision is explained by the inconsistency (heterogeneity) and thus not further downrated in certainty assessment.

type: Imprecision (Evidence Certainty Type#Imprecision)

rating: no serious concern (Evidence Certainty Rating#no-concern)

subcomponent

type: Indirectness (Evidence Certainty Type#Indirectness)

rating: no serious concern (Evidence Certainty Rating#no-concern)

subcomponent

type: Risk of bias (Evidence Certainty Type#RiskOfBias)

rating: serious concern (Evidence Certainty Rating#serious-concern)

subcomponent